{"id":1474,"date":"2018-12-03T02:42:38","date_gmt":"2018-12-03T02:42:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/saigonbiz.com.vn\/?p=1474"},"modified":"2018-12-03T02:42:38","modified_gmt":"2018-12-03T02:42:38","slug":"dau-tu-co-phieu-bat-dong-san-se-la-xu-huong-trong-nhung-nam-toi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/saigonbiz.com\/vn\/dau-tu-co-phieu-bat-dong-san-se-la-xu-huong-trong-nhung-nam-toi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd l\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m t\u1edbi?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Theo th\u00f4ng t\u01b0 36 s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i, quy \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 1\/1\/2019, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng chi nh\u00e1nh ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1ed1i \u0111a 40% ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 cho vay trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. Theo \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ea3n ni\u00eam y\u1ebft tr\u00ean s\u00e0n ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n \u0111\u1ec3 huy \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1ed1n do ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng si\u1ebft t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 m\u1edf ra m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1edbi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

H\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o “Ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng v\u00e0 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n”, do T\u1ea1p ch\u00ed Th\u01b0\u01a1ng Gia, C\u00f4ng ty CP Ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n KIS v\u1eeba t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u1ea1i TPHCM, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia, di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3 v\u00e0 h\u01a1n 250 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n (B\u0110S) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh ngh\u1ec1 li\u00ean quan…<\/p>\n

Theo \u0111\u00f3, t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2017 t\u1edbi nay \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 65 doanh nghi\u1ec7p ni\u00eam y\u1ebft tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n, \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng h\u1ee3p l\u00fd c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n khi d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, ch\u1ec9 t\u00ednh 58 doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n ni\u00eam y\u1ebft \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng doanh thu kho\u1ea3ng 157.000 t\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn kho\u1ea3ng 22.645 t\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ed3ng, trong \u0111\u00f3 ba m\u00e3 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu thu\u1ed9c Vingroup chi\u1ebfm 67,6%.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng L\u00ea Ho\u00e0ng Ch\u00e2u Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i B\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 H\u1ed3 Ch\u00ed Minh (HoREA), cho bi\u1ebft, g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ty H\u01b0ng Th\u1ecbnh Icons \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ni\u00eam y\u1ebft tr\u00ean HoSE c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t, \u0111\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n

\u201cD\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng n\u0103m 2018 v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o trong 2-3 n\u0103m t\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y th\u00ec m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ch\u1ec9 v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng tr\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi 15%. “T\u1ea1i th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 H\u1ed3 Ch\u00ed Minh c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng 116.000 – 180.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng cho vay b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u1ea9n trong ngu\u1ed3n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng, chi\u1ebfm t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng kho\u1ea3ng tr\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi 50% ngu\u1ed3n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng”, \u00f4ng Ch\u00e2u cho bi\u1ebft..<\/p>\n

Th\u1ebf nh\u01b0ng, \u00f4ng Ch\u00e2u cho bi\u1ebft, th\u1eddi gian qua, c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p B\u0110S ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn v\u00e0o ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n vay t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng nh\u01b0ng do ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n huy \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n chi\u1ebfm t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng l\u1edbn n\u00ean c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

Theo quy \u0111\u1ecbnh ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt, ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 v\u1ed1n ch\u1ee7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu 15-20%, c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i 80-85% nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ed1n th\u00ec ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 v\u1ed1n huy \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng. Theo quy \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc, n\u0103m 2018, ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng 45% ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n huy \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 cho vay trung h\u1ea1n, d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 B\u0110S (M\u1ee9c tr\u1ea7n n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m c\u00f2n 40% k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb 01\/01\/2019);<\/p>\n

C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, Trong Th\u00f4ng t\u01b0 36 s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i, quy \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 1\/1\/2019, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng, chi nh\u00e1nh ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1ed1i \u0111a 40% ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 cho vay trung h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. H\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay \u0111\u1ec3 kinh doanh b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n l\u00e0 200%.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ec9 th\u1ecb 04 c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u0169ng kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ee7 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u00e0o c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n r\u1ee7i ro nh\u01b0 B\u0110S, ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n\u2026 M\u00e0 t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng cho vay B\u0110S \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm 7,5% t\u1ed5ng d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng. T\u1ea1i TP. H\u1ed3 Ch\u00ed Minh, t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y l\u00e0 10,8% cao h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n r\u1ee7i ro cho c\u1ea3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0 c\u1ea3 doanh nghi\u1ec7p B\u0110S. L\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n ngu\u1ed3n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng n\u00e0y c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 m\u1eb7t r\u1ea5t t\u00edch c\u1ef1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o \u00e1p l\u1ef1c bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p B\u0110S ph\u1ea3i t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n b\u1ed5 sung kh\u00e1c, tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft l\u00e0 t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n, tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu doanh nghi\u1ec7p, ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i (FDI).<\/p>\n

V\u00ec v\u1eady, l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n ngu\u1ed3n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0o b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u00f3 m\u1eb7t r\u1ea5t t\u00edch c\u1ef1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o \u00e1p l\u1ef1c bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p ph\u1ea3i t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n b\u1ed5 sung kh\u00e1c, tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft l\u00e0 t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n, tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu doanh nghi\u1ec7p, ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i.<\/p>\n

Theo \u00f4ng S\u1eed Ng\u1ecdc Kh\u01b0\u01a1ng, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0, Savills Vi\u1ec7t Nam,x\u00e9t tr\u00ean b\u00ecnh di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n, tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf n\u00f3i chung v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng B\u0110S n\u00f3i ri\u00eang c\u0169ng kh\u00e1 l\u1ea1c quan khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n B\u0110S c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p r\u1ea5t c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 nh\u1eb1m t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng th\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a nhau. \u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u0169ng g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng giao d\u1ecbch, d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 d\u1eabn d\u1eaft c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng, ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 nh\u00f3m b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh nh\u1eefng doanh nghi\u1ec7p l\u1edbn, c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu B\u0110S c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00fa \u00fd t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng m\u00e3 c\u00f3 v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u1eeba v\u00e0 nh\u1ecf v\u1edbi d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kh\u00e1 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. Theo \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 chung, trong 5 n\u0103m qua t\u1eeb 2014 \u0111\u1ebfn 2018, c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu hai ng\u00e0nh ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 B\u0110S \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 3 con s\u1ed1, trong khi VNIndex ch\u1ec9 d\u1eebng \u1edf m\u1ee9c hai con s\u1ed1.<\/p>\n

B\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o qu\u00fd IV\/2018 c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 qu\u00fd I\/ 2019, s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch chung c\u01b0, nh\u00e0 li\u1ec1n k\u1ec1 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea5t n\u1ec1n d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 doanh thu v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty B\u0110S. M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec3u hi\u1ec7n d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu nh\u00f3m ng\u00e0nh B\u0110S ni\u00eam y\u1ebft tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7n thu h\u00fat \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan n\u00e0y c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng, khi trong ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh doanh B\u0110S lu\u00f4n ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 khi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n ngu\u1ed3n cung h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u00ec th\u1ee7 t\u1ee5c k\u00e9o d\u00e0i ho\u1eb7c qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea5t s\u1ea1ch ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng thu nh\u1ecf, hay vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m sau b\u00e0n giao\u2026 \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn chu k\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Theo th\u00f4ng t\u01b0 36 s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i, quy \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 1\/1\/2019, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng chi nh\u00e1nh ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1ed1i \u0111a 40% ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 cho vay trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. Theo \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ea3n ni\u00eam y\u1ebft tr\u00ean s\u00e0n ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n […]\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":50415,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[49,822,166,823],"class_list":["post-1474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-doi-song","tag-bds","tag-co-phieu-bds","tag-horea","tag-tiem-nang-va-co-hoi-dau-tu-co-phieu-bat-dong-san"],"yoast_head":"\n\u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd l\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m t\u1edbi?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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